In a single-author work - which is currently a working paper and part of my PhD thesis - I undertake an extensive and granular analysis of the impact of climate change on the Italian manufacturing sector.

The paper uses a panel dataset of georeferenced balance sheet information from hundreds of thousands of Italian manufacturing companies, combined with high-resolution daily climate data. Using this large dataset, I estimate the immediate and long-term effects that rising temperatures and intense heat waves have on the output, productivity, and input usage of manufacturing companies, thanks to dynamic microeconometric models. The paper is well suited to identifying structural vulnerabilities and policy instruments that can guide climate change adaptation strategies.

I also engage in a series of heterogeneity analyses (e.g., for sub-industries, company characteristics, and work organization) of climate impacts, and I estimate future impacts of rising temperatures on output and productivity, up to 2065, working on different climate change simulations (with varying degrees of severity).

The research was carried out almost entirely in R. Although the paper has not yet been published, I am more than happy to discuss the results and implications of my findings, present my work, or collaborate on related projects.

Please feel free to contact me for any further information.

References

Mutasci, F. (2025). The Impact of Temperature and Heat Waves on Italian Manufacturing Firms. Working paper, Universities of Milan and Pavia.